How to use this page: every line in the list below appears in the red CLIMATE ALERT bar on the home page. Write the label in bold (for example El Niño, Rainfall, Rivers), then the alert text. Add a new line to add an alert, delete a line to remove it, then click Update.
- El Niño · NOAA 8 Oct El Niño Advisory in effect: a strong-to-very strong El Niño is likely to persist through January–March 2027
- El Niño 83% chance of a historic-strength El Niño, the strongest since 1950, during October–December 2026
- Deyr season 90% chance of above-normal Deyr rainfall across central and southern Somalia
- Rainfall Wettest conditions expected in October and November; the wet signal weakens in December
- Forecast Early to normal onset of the Deyr rains; seasonal totals above 400 mm possible in parts of central and southern Somalia
- Temperature Warmer-than-average temperatures expected, with the highest probability in eastern Somalia
- Rivers Juba and Shabelle levels may stay high or keep rising, even during local dry spells, due to upstream rains in Ethiopia
- Observed · 14 Oct Heavy Deyr rains recorded in Mogadishu and Hudur